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Passport #143324 · Jul 1, 2026 · 12:21 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
RE@RektCapital
Jul 1, 2026 · 12:21 UTC
𝕏 #BTC
Red June
Green July
Red August
This is what Bitcoin price history suggests
Bitcoin could possibly see some downside wicking below the new Monthly Open in early July
But history suggests price should be able expand to the upside as the month progresses
$BTC #Bitcoin
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Primary directional call is up ('expand to the upside as the month progresses'). No specific price targets stated. 'Should be able' and 'history suggests' indicate mild hedge. Early July downside wick mentioned but no target number given and it's not the primary direction of the call.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC expands to the upside during July. 'As the month progresses' with post_timestamp 2026-07-01 → 'in July' → last day of July = July 31, 2026; July 31 − July 1 = 30 days.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $58,560 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $58,560 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 233.99,
"mfe": 4902,
"mqs": 0.811697,
"ocs": 0.954441,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-04 19:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.365468,
"sigma_d": 0.02756487,
"eval_end": "2026-07-05 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.811697,
"max_close": 63439.87,
"min_close": 58398,
"eval_start": "2026-07-01 12:21:36+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.669702,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.782902,
"activation_price": 58559.99,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 357,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.050134,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 5,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 5,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 5,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 5
}