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Call Audit
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Passport #142864 · Jun 30, 2026 · 19:52 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Here's Why Bitcoin Could Crash Lower
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$BTC #Bitcoin
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish call indicated by 'Crash Lower'. 'Could' signals heavy hedge. No specific price targets stated in the post.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC crashes lower. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present. No bounce, bottom, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $58,818 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.23composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.71 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.11 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.03 |
| Magnitude | 0.71 |
| Max Favorable Move | +1.7% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −13.8% |
| Candles evaluated | 2878 · 1d |
| Eval window | Jun 30, 2026 · 19:52 UTC → Jul 30, 2026 · 19:15 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | heavy_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $58,818 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 8138.1,
"mfe": 1017.86,
"mqs": 0.714557,
"ocs": 0.111169,
"tif": 0.032258,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.07905,
"sigma_d": 0.0276064,
"eval_end": "2026-07-30 19:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.714557,
"max_close": 66944.4,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-30 19:52:54+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.253712,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.234258,
"activation_price": 58818.05,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2878,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.013803,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}