Passport #141620 · Jun 27, 2026 · 18:22 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Post promotes a YouTube video titled 'Bitcoin Could Crash Lower' — clear bearish direction. 'Could' makes this a heavy hedge. No specific price targets stated in the post text.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC crashes lower. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present. No §4 signal (bounce, urgency, macro, etc.) fires → DEFAULT 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 6440.15,
"mfe": 2715.81,
"mqs": 0.601956,
"ocs": 0.296617,
"tif": 0.16129,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.202588,
"sigma_d": 0.0268731,
"eval_end": "2026-07-27 18:22:34+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.601956,
"max_close": 66944.4,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-27 18:22:34+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.921193,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.315613,
"activation_price": 60516,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.048717,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 5,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}