Passport #140651 · Jun 25, 2026 · 14:05 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Title states 'Bitcoin Could Crash Lower' — clear down direction. 'Could' is heavy hedge language. No specific price targets stated in the post text itself.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC crashes lower. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present; the post is a YouTube link title with no temporal language. No §4 signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 7687.96,
"mfe": 1468,
"mqs": 0.33499,
"ocs": 0.160333,
"tif": 0.032258,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.112897,
"sigma_d": 0.0259715,
"eval_end": "2026-07-25 14:05:20+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.33499,
"max_close": 66944.4,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-25 14:05:20+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.407953,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.160119,
"activation_price": 59268.19,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.060715,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}