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Passport #140644 · Jun 25, 2026 · 13:30 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
RE@RektCapital
Jun 25, 2026 · 13:30 UTC
𝕏 #BTC
Bitcoin on the Quarterly timeframe showcases a picture of old major supports turning into resistance, one by one
All resistances are in red
The $59k level is the only support at this time (green)
A Quarterly close beneath $62.4k could see that level flip into resistance in Q3 to impose sell-side pressure on $59k and force it into a break
$BTC #Bitcoin
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 1 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | $62,400 |
| Trigger Operator | Break Below |
AI Reasoning
Trigger is the quarterly close beneath $62.4k (break-below condition). Target is $59k, which the forecaster predicts will be broken under sell-side pressure after the trigger fires. Single claim with hedged language ('could').
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC breaks below $59k support. Per §0.5, 'Quarterly close beneath $62.4k' is the trigger; no horizon phrase is attached to the outcome (the $59k break). No bounce/bottom/urgency/macro signal fires for this leg → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $60,078 |
| Target | $59,000 – $59,000 |
| Duration | 1 days · Short Term |
| Trigger level | $62,400 |
| Trigger operator | Break Below |
| Conditional operator | Category B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jun 25, 2026 · 13:45 UTC |
Scoring
0.83composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.96 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.61 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.94 |
| Magnitude | 0.96 |
| Max Favorable Move | +3.3% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −2.1% |
| Candles evaluated | 49 · 3m |
| Eval window | Jun 25, 2026 · 13:45 UTC → Jun 26, 2026 · 01:45 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 1 |
| Duration used in scoring | 1 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeB |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | heavy_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $60,078 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1265.91,
"mfe": 1962.98,
"mqs": 0.963844,
"ocs": 0.607943,
"tif": 0.938776,
"mfe_ts": "2026-06-25 14:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.820562,
"sigma_d": 0.01968351,
"eval_end": "2026-06-26 01:45:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.963844,
"max_close": 60211.87,
"min_close": 58290.17,
"eval_start": "2026-06-25 13:45:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 60077.99,
"trigger_ts": "2026-06-25 13:45:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 0.5,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 3.319922,
"target_hit_ts": "2026-06-25 14:00:00+00:00",
"accuracy_score": 0.832781,
"activation_price": 60077.99,
"dir_target_score": 1,
"candles_evaluated": 49,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.009842,
"scoring_candle_tf": "3m",
"tif_total_aggregated": 49,
"trigger_candle_index": 0,
"aggregated_candles_count": 49,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 46,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 49
}