Passport #183399 · Aug 12, 2026 · 15:46 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | SOL |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 120 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Forecaster predicts SOL will make an equal high at ~$300 this bull cycle, implying an up call with target of 300. Conditional framing ('If that's still the case') and rhetorical ending ('Something to think about') indicate a mild hedge rather than firm declaration.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = SOL reaches ~$300 equal high. 'This bull cycle' is earnest macro language (bull cycle framing) with no explicit calendar date attached to the outcome → Signal H base 120.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 0.18,
"mfe": 0.35,
"mqs": 0.258279,
"ocs": 0.660253,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-12 18:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.010575,
"sigma_d": 0.03092866,
"eval_end": "2026-08-12 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 75.84,
"magnitude": 0.258279,
"max_close": 76.04,
"min_close": 75.64,
"eval_start": "2026-08-12 15:46:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-12 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 120,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.298782,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.482277,
"activation_price": 75.75,
"dir_target_score": 0.001293,
"candles_evaluated": 15,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.015464,
"scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}