Call Audit

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Passport #164557 · Jul 24, 2026 · 08:36 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

@PostyXBT

Jul 24, 2026 · 08:36 UTC

gm friends Short $BTC is my only open trade atm I feel like if we are to make a run for $70k it's going to be from this level No reaction here and it's back to $62k imo https://t.co/PaOAVYeINe

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@PostyXBT's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	$66,000
Trigger Operator	Hold Below

AI Reasoning

Claim 2: If no reaction at 'this level' (no numeric trigger stated), price goes back to $62k. Hedged with 'imo'.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC drops back to $62k. No horizon phrase attached to the outcome; 'imo' provides no temporal anchor. No §4 signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

Chart is BTCUSDT 1D, matching Stage 3 asset. Current price ~65,370. Visible structures: 'Short Zone' box at ~66,000-66,500 (labeled resistance), horizontal support lines at ~60,000 and ~58,000. Stage 3 claim direction is up with Category A (hold/defend), but the chart's most prominent trigger structure is a Short Zone (bearish rejection), which contradicts an up-direction hold thesis. The support levels at 60k/58k could serve as a Category A hold trigger but they are well below current price. Trigger recovery is ambiguous — extracted 66,000 as the break-above level but flagged NOT PASS due to conflict with operator category and direction.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$63,915
Target	$62,000 – $62,000
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger level	$66,000
Trigger operator	Hold Below
Conditional operator	Category A — Hold/Defend/Maintain/Resistance
Trigger hit	Yes
Trigger time	Jul 29, 2026 · 00:00 UTC

Scoring

0.38composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.47
Path Score (OCS)	0.52
Time Score (TIF)	0.40
Magnitude	0.47
Max Favorable Move	+2.6%
Max Unfavorable Move	−2.3%
Candles evaluated	847 · 1d
Eval window	Jul 29, 2026 · 00:00 UTC → Aug 6, 2026 · 19:30 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B->4B_modeA
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$65,454
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

gate_3_confidence: chart_trigger_confidence

Merge Flags

trigger_from_chart: true

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 1494.56,
  "mfe": 1640,
  "mqs": 0.474311,
  "ocs": 0.523199,
  "tif": 0.4,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-08-01 18:45:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.116919,
  "sigma_d": 0.0205202,
  "eval_end": "2026-08-06 19:30:00+00:00",
  "end_close": 64443.99,
  "magnitude": 0.474311,
  "max_close": 65189.32,
  "min_close": 62340.01,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-29 00:00:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": 63915,
  "trigger_ts": "2026-07-29 00:00:00+00:00",
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": true,
  "end_close_ts": "2026-08-06 19:30:00+00:00",
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.643046,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.378607,
  "activation_price": 63915,
  "dir_target_score": 0.822449,
  "candles_evaluated": 847,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.039902,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 10,
  "trigger_candle_index": 4,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 10,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 4,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 10
}