Call Audit

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Passport #148310 · Jul 9, 2026 · 11:24 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@PostyXBT

Jul 9, 2026 · 11:24 UTC

$ETH If bitcoin does run to high 60's like I mentioned, ethereum probably gets to $2k That's probably it though for the short term Hard to get excited about the long term until a lower high is reclaimed like $2,400 in this case Feels a long way away at this point https://t.co/kibgXomOLz

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

ETH

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	ETH
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	$69,000
Trigger Operator	Break Below

AI Reasoning

Trigger is BTC running to 'high 60s' (interpreted as ~69000), which activates the ETH prediction of $2k. Target is $2k for ETH. 'Probably' indicates mild hedge. Trigger confidence NOT PASS because 'high 60s' is vague and refers to another asset's price rather than a precise stated number.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = ETH reaches $2k. The phrase 'for the short term' follows the $2k target and is bound to the outcome, but 'short term' is not a specific duration phrase in §3.2 — no explicit timeframe applies. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires; 'short term' alone routes to DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	ETH
Direction	Long
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$1,742
Target	$2,000 – $2,000
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger level	$69,000
Trigger operator	Break Below
Conditional operator	Category B — Break/Pump/Close Above
Trigger hit	No

Scoring

This call is conditional pending — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	—

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B->4B_modeB
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$1,742
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

gate_3_confidence: post_trigger_confidence

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mqs": null,
  "ocs": null,
  "tif": null,
  "status": "untriggered",
  "eval_end": "2026-07-11 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": null,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-09 11:24:00+00:00",
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "trigger_hit": false,
  "review_flags": {
    "trigger_p0_gap_over_20pct": 3860
  },
  "accuracy_score": null,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 169
}