Passport #71486 · Feb 26, 2026 · 19:09 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 308 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Direction is down based on 'bottom $55k' implying a decline to that level. 'Might' and the rhetorical 'if everyone starts praying' framing indicate heavy hedging. Single target of 55000 explicitly stated.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC bottoms at $55k. 'This year' is bound to the outcome. D = 2026-02-26; Dec 31 2026 − Feb 26 2026 = 308 days.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 15346.17,
"mfe": 9703.64,
"mqs": 0.379468,
"ocs": 0.387374,
"tif": 0.6,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.202525,
"sigma_d": 0.02702531,
"eval_end": "2026-07-03 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.379468,
"max_close": 82684.01,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-02-26 19:09:39+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 308,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.477179,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.392342,
"activation_price": 67503.83,
"dir_target_score": 0.746493,
"candles_evaluated": 12138,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.301249,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
"tif_total_aggregated": 5,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 5,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 3,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 5
}