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Passport #83497 · Jun 2, 2026 · 09:46 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

@LongtermR

Jun 2, 2026 · 09:46 UTC

$BTC retesting its previous cycle ATH. My target is still Fib retracement golden pocket around 39k. Maybe it doesn't get there. Usually the area around or bellow previous ATH was a good level to scale in. But time-wise, summer is never good for crypto, so I will wait. https://t.co/dyCOTN9D2l

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Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	180 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Forecaster states their target is the Fib golden pocket around 39k while BTC is retesting previous ATH, implying a down move. 'Maybe it doesn't get there' adds hedging, making this a mild_hedge rather than declarative.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC declines to ~39k. No explicit horizon bound to the outcome. 'Summer is never good for crypto, so I will wait' signals a multi-month patience/positioning stance (Signal F/G territory); 'scale in' is accumulation language (Signal E), but the broader framing is a patient wait through summer (~June–August), suggesting a 90-day window. Signal E with mid-horizon thesis → 90.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$69,426
Target	$39,000 – $39,000
Duration	180 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	180
Duration used in scoring	180

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$69,426
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 329.99,
  "mfe": 11625.82,
  "mqs": 0.780639,
  "ocs": 0.972399,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.303108,
  "sigma_d": 0.02062438,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.780639,
  "max_close": 69657.99,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-02 09:46:10+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 180,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.517036,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.764037,
  "activation_price": 69426.01,
  "dir_target_score": 0.369953,
  "candles_evaluated": 3055,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.110384,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 2,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 2,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}