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Passport #80907 ยท May 18, 2026 ยท 19:21 UTC ยท scored as of Jul 15, 2026 ยท 14:03 UTC
LO@LongtermR
May 18, 2026 ยท 19:21 UTC
๐จGood news:
Bitcoin is closer to the bottom than to the top.
Check this monthly $BTC vs $NDQ chart ๐๐ป https://t.co/tdDJtrUKw8
Stage 1 ยท Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 ยท Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 ยท Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days ยท Medium Term |
| Trigger | โ |
| Trigger Operator | โ |
AI Reasoning
Author states BTC is 'closer to the bottom than to the top,' implying more upside than downside ahead โ a directional up call. No explicit price target is given. Tone is suggestive rather than declarative, so mild_hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC moves up (closer to bottom than top). No explicit horizon phrase bound to the outcome. 'Bottom' language could suggest Signal B2, but the claim is a macro positioning statement referencing a monthly chart โ no urgency, bounce, or specific recovery cue. DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 ยท Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 ยท Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $76,638 |
| Target | โ |
| Duration | 30 days ยท Medium Term |
Scoring
0.23composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.53 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.08 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.23 |
| Magnitude | 0.53 |
| Max Favorable Move | +2.0% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | โ22.8% |
| Candles evaluated | 2880 ยท 1d |
| Eval window | May 18, 2026 ยท 19:21 UTC โ Jun 17, 2026 ยท 19:21 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $76,638 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_5_asset_mismatch: path=3A->4A, claim=BTC, chart=NON_USD_PAIR
Merge Flags
asset_mismatch: trueasset_mismatch_chart: NON_USD_PAIRasset_mismatch_claim: BTC
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 17507.44,
"mfe": 1561.65,
"mqs": 0.531291,
"ocs": 0.081894,
"tif": 0.225806,
"mfe_ts": "2026-05-21 08:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.093007,
"sigma_d": 0.01688287,
"eval_end": "2026-06-17 19:21:52+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.531291,
"max_close": 78137.12,
"min_close": 59392.25,
"eval_start": "2026-05-18 19:21:52+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.757774,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.233,
"activation_price": 76638.35,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.02689,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 7,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
} 