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Passport #67474 · Mar 31, 2026 · 12:30 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@LongtermR

Mar 31, 2026 · 12:30 UTC

I have created a live dashboard with 11 onchain and derivatives indicators which analyze potential $BTC cycle bottom. It is a real gem 💎 All those metrics currently point out to 77/100 bottom score. Dashboard says that the accumulation window for DCA is opened. And lump sum strategy guys can make a calculated risk and wait a bit more until we reach 80-100 territory. I will keep you updated 🫡

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	90 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

The post indicates BTC is near a cycle bottom with a 77/100 score and suggests accumulation/DCA, implying an upward directional bias. No specific price targets are given — the 77/100 and 80-100 numbers refer to a bottom score indicator, not price targets. Tone is suggestive rather than declarative, so mild_hedge.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC moves up from a cycle bottom. No explicit horizon attached to the outcome. The post uses accumulation/DCA language ('accumulation window for DCA is opened') paired with cycle-bottom framing ('cycle bottom', 'bottom score'), which routes to Signal E with macro/cycle payoff → Signal H. However, the evaluable claim is the accumulation/DCA positioning itself rather than a named bull market outcome, so Signal E with multi-month 'next leg' framing applies → 90.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$66,904
Target	—
Duration	90 days · Long Term

Scoring

0.65composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.75
Path Score (OCS)	0.64
Time Score (TIF)	0.64
Magnitude	0.75
Max Favorable Move	+23.8%
Max Unfavorable Move	−13.1%
Candles evaluated	8640 · 1w
Eval window	Mar 31, 2026 · 12:30 UTC → Jun 29, 2026 · 12:30 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	90
Duration used in scoring	90

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$66,904
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 8789.43,
  "mfe": 15945.56,
  "mqs": 0.752887,
  "ocs": 0.644656,
  "tif": 0.642857,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-05-06 11:30:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.55797,
  "sigma_d": 0.02843197,
  "eval_end": "2026-06-29 12:30:17+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.752887,
  "max_close": 82684.01,
  "min_close": 58290.17,
  "eval_start": "2026-03-31 12:30:17+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 90,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.39791,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.649593,
  "activation_price": 66904.44,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 8640,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.170493,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 14,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 14,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 9,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 14
}