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Passport #147431 · Jul 8, 2026 · 15:16 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
IN@IncomeSharks
Jul 8, 2026 · 15:16 UTC
$SOL - Unfortunately have to treat this as a bearish retest. There's just not enough money for continuation or follow through, still too many coins and too much money spread thin. https://t.co/FnFT7fSKON
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | SOL |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish retest language with reasoning about insufficient money for continuation clearly indicates a down call. No specific price targets stated. 'Have to treat this as' is a mild hedge rather than fully declarative.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = SOL declines (bearish retest, no continuation). No explicit horizon phrase attached to the outcome. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | SOL |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $76.41 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $76.41 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_5_asset_mismatch: path=3A->4A, claim=SOL, chart=NON_USD_PAIR
Merge Flags
asset_mismatch: trueasset_mismatch_chart: NON_USD_PAIRasset_mismatch_claim: SOL
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 3.04,
"mfe": 0.12,
"mqs": 0.084441,
"ocs": 0.037973,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-08 15:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.007189,
"sigma_d": 0.03560345,
"eval_end": "2026-07-10 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.084441,
"max_close": 79.07,
"min_close": 76.41,
"eval_start": "2026-07-08 15:16:50+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.08822,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.032401,
"activation_price": 76.41,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 153,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.017802,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 3,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 3,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 3
} 