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Passport #178246 ยท Aug 7, 2026 ยท 13:14 UTC ยท scored as of Aug 12, 2026 ยท 20:33 UTC
Stocks are going up.
But $BTC and $ETH are lagging.
This looks exactly like 2020 before the crypto market went parabolic. https://t.co/vJIaMRnVIy
Stage 1 ยท Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
Stage 2 ยท Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 ยท Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 90 days ยท Long Term |
| Trigger | โ |
| Trigger Operator | โ |
AI Reasoning
The 2020 pre-parabolic comparison implies an up call for ETH. No specific price targets are stated. 'Looks exactly like' is a comparative/suggestive statement rather than a firm declaration, so mild_hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH goes up (parabolic move). Same macro framing as claim 0 โ 'went parabolic' is earnest cycle-level language โ Signal H base 120.
Stage 4 ยท Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 ยท Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $1,929 |
| Target | โ |
| Duration | 90 days ยท Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live โ no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 90 |
| Duration used in scoring | 90 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $1,929 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved โ no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 23.7,
"mfe": 5.95,
"mqs": 0.201641,
"ocs": 0.200674,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-07 13:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.008151,
"sigma_d": 0.02739239,
"eval_end": "2026-08-07 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 1914.36,
"magnitude": 0.201641,
"max_close": 1932.47,
"min_close": 1907.16,
"eval_start": "2026-08-07 13:14:07+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-07 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 90,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.225197,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.102616,
"activation_price": 1929.1,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 26,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.013696,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}