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Call Audit
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Passport #177612 ยท Aug 6, 2026 ยท 13:34 UTC ยท scored as of Aug 12, 2026 ยท 20:33 UTC
BTC has bottomed for this cycle.
Anyone expecting $40K -$45K will be sidelined forever. https://t.co/Pl69XpBwRJ
Stage 1 ยท Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 ยท Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 ยท Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 60 days ยท Medium Term |
| Trigger | โ |
| Trigger Operator | โ |
AI Reasoning
'BTC has bottomed for this cycle' is a declarative up call implying price will only go higher from here. The $40K-$45K numbers are referenced as levels others expect and that the forecaster is dismissing (opposite direction) โ not targets. No up-side targets stated.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC has bottomed and will recover (bottom call / trend reversal). No explicit horizon phrase. 'Bottomed for this cycle' is a bottom call (Signal B2) with macro/cycle framing ('this cycle'), which pushes the band โ to 60.
Stage 4 ยท Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 ยท Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $64,398 |
| Target | โ |
| Duration | 60 days ยท Medium Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live โ no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 60 |
| Duration used in scoring | 60 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $64,398 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved โ no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 226.01,
"mfe": 589.25,
"mqs": 0.603648,
"ocs": 0.722775,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-06 15:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.029609,
"sigma_d": 0.01977438,
"eval_end": "2026-08-06 19:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.603648,
"max_close": 64852.33,
"min_close": 64398.01,
"eval_start": "2026-08-06 13:34:51+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 60,
"mew_days_used": 60,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.925453,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.589008,
"activation_price": 64398.01,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 24,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.009887,
"scoring_candle_tf": "3d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}