Passport #144459 · Jul 3, 2026 · 10:57 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Implied bullish call via double bottom pattern analogy referencing prior 3.5x pump. No explicit price targets stated — the 3.5x is a historical reference, not an explicit prediction of magnitude. 'Seems to have' softens the claim to mild_hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH pumps significantly after double bottom. The post references a prior 3.5x move 'in just 5 months' as the implied analog, which is macro/multi-month framing. Signal H (macro/parabolic move) applies; the earnest comparison to a 3.5x bull run move warrants base 120.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 28.72,
"mfe": 239.08,
"mqs": 0.551613,
"ocs": 0.892755,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-27 06:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.556802,
"sigma_d": 0.03506723,
"eval_end": "2026-08-02 10:57:07+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.551613,
"max_close": 1975.73,
"min_close": 1717.47,
"eval_start": "2026-07-03 10:57:07+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.802099,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.750293,
"activation_price": 1742.16,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.171091,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 31,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}