Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 1095 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bullish long-term accumulation thesis with no explicit price targets given. The '70K' reference describes current price, not a target. 'Opinion' and 'I don't think it can get worse' language indicate a mild hedge rather than declarative.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC moves up (bullish long-term). The post explicitly states 'with a 3 year horizon' bound to the outcome ('good price to accumulate'). D = 2026-04-06; 3 years = 1095 days.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 11682.39,
"mfe": 13367.42,
"mqs": 0.706902,
"ocs": 0.533634,
"tif": 0.25,
"mfe_ts": "2026-05-06 11:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.144743,
"sigma_d": 0.02863054,
"eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.706902,
"max_close": 82684.01,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-04-06 12:00:03+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 1095,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.227249,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.40882,
"activation_price": 69482.58,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 8518,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.156761,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
"tif_total_aggregated": 4,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 4,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 4
}