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Passport #143301 · Jul 1, 2026 · 08:41 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
DE@Dentoshi
Jul 1, 2026 · 08:41 UTC
𝕏 $BTC swept the lows, still bullied by 4H EMA's, though.
IF we can form a range, hold the lows and reclaim trend, I think we can see some green weeks in July. https://t.co/8pQtB1vLJH
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | $60,800 |
| Trigger Operator | Reclaim |
AI Reasoning
Trigger is a reclaim of trend condition but no explicit numeric level is stated ('the lows' and 'trend' are referenced but not numerically specified). Direction is up (green weeks in July). No numeric target given. Hedged with 'I think'.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC sees green weeks (upward move). 'In July' is bound to the outcome, not the trigger. D = 2026-07-01; 'in July' → July 31, 2026; 30 days.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
Gate 1: BTC/USD on 4h timeframe. Gate 2: Asset matches BTC. Gate 3: Chart shows multiple rejection zones along a descending trendline and horizontal reference lines (April '21 High, February Lows) — trigger structure present for a reclaim scenario. Gate 4: Direction consistent with up claim (reclaim of trend/lows would lead upward). Trigger extracted as February Lows horizontal at ~60,800, the nearest reclaim level above current price.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $62,583 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger level | $60,800 |
| Trigger operator | Reclaim |
| Conditional operator | Category C — Reclaim/Acceptance/Flip Bullish |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jul 4, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Scoring
This call is conditional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeA |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $58,739 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_3_confidence: chart_trigger_confidence
Merge Flags
trigger_from_chart: true
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 255.02,
"mfe": 878.73,
"mqs": 0.429997,
"ocs": 0.775065,
"tif": 0.666667,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-04 19:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.064185,
"sigma_d": 0.02753567,
"eval_end": "2026-07-05 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.429997,
"max_close": 63439.87,
"min_close": 62422,
"eval_start": "2026-07-04 00:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 62583.26,
"trigger_ts": "2026-07-04 00:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.562113,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.483978,
"activation_price": 62583.26,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 119,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.024979,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 3,
"trigger_candle_index": 2,
"aggregated_candles_count": 3,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 3
}