Call Audit

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Passport #84086 · Jun 4, 2026 · 21:49 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@Defihunter1

Jun 4, 2026 · 21:49 UTC

2025 /26 Cycle update $BTC is testing the same ascending trend structure that has supported the entire move from the cycle lows. If history rhymes, this could be the 25/26 cycle bottom before the next expansion phase begins. Weak hands see a breakdown but it's buying zone 💰 https://t.co/l5SXDIzRh9

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	120 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Author frames current level as cycle bottom and buying zone before next expansion phase, implying an up call. No explicit price targets stated. 'If history rhymes' and 'could be' indicate mild hedging.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC rises in the next expansion phase (cycle bottom call leading into bull run). The post uses earnest macro language ('2025/26 cycle', 'cycle bottom', 'next expansion phase'), triggering Signal H at base 120 — no ↓ cue (this is full bull market framing, not altseason rotation alone).

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$63,286
Target	—
Duration	120 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	120
Duration used in scoring	120

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$63,286
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 5486.02,
  "mfe": 4005.94,
  "mqs": 0.597245,
  "ocs": 0.422035,
  "tif": 0.333333,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-06-15 16:00:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.143872,
  "sigma_d": 0.02122126,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.597245,
  "max_close": 67292.14,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-04 21:49:09+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 120,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.909427,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.374121,
  "activation_price": 63286.21,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 2815,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.069603,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 3,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 3,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 3
}