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Passport #140057 · Jun 24, 2026 · 16:19 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
$BTC
and the bear market will soon be coming to an end
But lets dip below $50k for some liquidity first https://t.co/1kG9FKFx4n
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Per Stage 2, only the first leg (dip below $50k) is scored as directional. Direction is down with target being sub-$50k, so target_hi = 50000 and target_lo = null (open-ended below). 'Lets dip' is casual/mild hedge phrasing rather than firm declaration.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC dips below $50k. 'Soon' appears in the post but is attached to the bear market ending (a sibling/context clause), not to this claim's outcome of a dip below $50k. No outcome-bound horizon phrase exists for this directional down leg. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires for this specific leg → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $60,550 |
| Target | — – $50,000 |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.31composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.51 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.30 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.23 |
| Magnitude | 0.51 |
| Max Favorable Move | +4.5% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −10.6% |
| Candles evaluated | 2880 · 1d |
| Eval window | Jun 24, 2026 · 16:19 UTC → Jul 24, 2026 · 16:19 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $60,550 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 6406.15,
"mfe": 2749.81,
"mqs": 0.511329,
"ocs": 0.30033,
"tif": 0.225806,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.204941,
"sigma_d": 0.02512523,
"eval_end": "2026-07-24 16:19:50+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.511329,
"max_close": 66944.4,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-24 16:19:50+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.716066,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.310601,
"activation_price": 60550,
"dir_target_score": 0.22561,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.063421,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 7,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}