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Call Audit
Every scored call is fully auditable
Passport #81906 · May 25, 2026 · 07:16 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
#btc
Hmmmm, maybe a video to explain that $100k target? https://t.co/SyNb3TLyqm
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Post references a $100k target for BTC but provides no directional context in the text itself — without knowing the price at time of post, direction cannot be inferred. The $100k is stated as a target but it's unclear if this is the forecaster's own call or referencing a prior video. Marked ambiguous.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC reaches $100k. No horizon phrase is attached to the outcome — the post is a brief teaser referencing a video. No §4 signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $77,213 |
| Target | $100,000 – $100,000 |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.15composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.46 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.05 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.03 |
| Magnitude | 0.46 |
| Max Favorable Move | +1.1% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −23.4% |
| Candles evaluated | 2880 · 1d |
| Eval window | May 25, 2026 · 07:16 UTC → Jun 24, 2026 · 07:16 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $77,213 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_3_confidence: post_direction_confidence,post_target_confidence
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 18081.93,
"mfe": 867.16,
"mqs": 0.462371,
"ocs": 0.045763,
"tif": 0.032258,
"mfe_ts": "2026-05-26 14:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.051364,
"sigma_d": 0.01586429,
"eval_end": "2026-06-24 07:16:09+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.462371,
"max_close": 77958.4,
"min_close": 59392.25,
"eval_start": "2026-05-25 07:16:09+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.620587,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.147939,
"activation_price": 77212.84,
"dir_target_score": 0.032718,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.018097,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}