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Passport #62520 · Apr 30, 2026 · 08:17 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
CR@Crypto_Ed_NL
Apr 30, 2026 · 08:17 UTC
#BTC to $170,000!?
Video update, short and long term, including my expectations for alts in the coming weeks.
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Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 365 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Up call for BTC with explicit target of $170,000. The '!?' punctuation suggests some hedging/excitement rather than firm declaration, so mild_hedge fits best.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC rises to $170,000. 'Coming weeks' is bound to expectations for alts, not to the BTC $170k outcome. No outcome-anchored horizon for the BTC claim → §4. No bounce/bottom/urgency/macro signal fires for this directional call → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $76,076 |
| Target | $170,000 – $170,000 |
| Duration | 365 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | reviewer_override |
| Duration stated (days) | 365 |
| Duration used in scoring | 365 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $76,076 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 18275.73,
"mfe": 6774.08,
"mqs": 0.716876,
"ocs": 0.270424,
"tif": 0.333333,
"mfe_ts": "2026-05-06 11:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.116327,
"sigma_d": 0.02849203,
"eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.716876,
"max_close": 82684.01,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-04-30 08:17:18+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 365,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.261869,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.35924,
"activation_price": 76075.92,
"dir_target_score": 0.070356,
"candles_evaluated": 6229,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.070565,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
"tif_total_aggregated": 3,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 3,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 3
} 