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Passport #182394 · Aug 11, 2026 · 17:35 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
$BTC / $USD - Update
So far so good on the Bitcoin dump. $61,100 would be a gift. https://t.co/R6RCe8QV9A
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Post confirms ongoing BTC dump ('so far so good') and identifies 61,100 as a downside target ('would be a gift'). Direction is clearly down with a single explicit target.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC continues declining toward $61,100. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present. No bounce, bottom-call, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $63,554 |
| Target | $61,100 – $61,100 |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
Scoring
0.59composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.53 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.80 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 1.00 |
| Magnitude | 0.53 |
| Max Favorable Move | +0.5% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −0.1% |
| Candles evaluated | 8 · 4h |
| Eval window | Aug 11, 2026 · 17:35 UTC → Aug 11, 2026 · 19:30 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 7 |
| Duration used in scoring | 7 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $63,554 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 78.94,
"mfe": 316,
"mqs": 0.52696,
"ocs": 0.800121,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-11 19:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.047083,
"sigma_d": 0.01328431,
"eval_end": "2026-08-11 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 63322,
"magnitude": 0.52696,
"max_close": 63607.88,
"min_close": 63248.54,
"eval_start": "2026-08-11 17:35:41+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-11 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 7,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.748575,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.593541,
"activation_price": 63554,
"dir_target_score": 0.124474,
"candles_evaluated": 8,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.006642,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}