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Passport #182369 · Aug 11, 2026 · 14:13 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
$ETH / $USD - Update
A dump to $1820 - $1825 would make sense to form the new base for the next bigger leg up https://t.co/IJmx9mJcnb
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
First leg is a directional dump down to $1820-$1825, the reversal point. 'Would make sense' language indicates mild hedge commitment.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH drops to $1820-$1825. No explicit horizon attached to this downward move. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires for this leg → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $1,890 |
| Target | $1,820 – $1,825 |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.72composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.84 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.95 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 1.00 |
| Magnitude | 0.84 |
| Max Favorable Move | +1.9% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −0.1% |
| Candles evaluated | 22 · 1d |
| Eval window | Aug 11, 2026 · 14:13 UTC → Aug 11, 2026 · 19:30 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3C->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $1,890 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 2.05,
"mfe": 35.94,
"mqs": 0.840068,
"ocs": 0.946036,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-11 15:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.086847,
"sigma_d": 0.02075313,
"eval_end": "2026-08-11 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 1866.39,
"magnitude": 0.840068,
"max_close": 1889.56,
"min_close": 1859.67,
"eval_start": "2026-08-11 14:13:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-11 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.833006,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.718238,
"activation_price": 1889.56,
"dir_target_score": 0.46298,
"candles_evaluated": 22,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010377,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}