Passport #182330 · Aug 11, 2026 · 09:16 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Explicit 'targets on the downside' with BTC at $61,100 stated as the downside target. Direction is clearly down and the number is the forecaster's predicted destination.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC declines to $61,100. No horizon phrase attached to the outcome. No bounce, bottom, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 325.43,
"mfe": 952,
"mqs": 0.789865,
"ocs": 0.745246,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-11 19:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.067785,
"sigma_d": 0.01474048,
"eval_end": "2026-08-11 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 63322,
"magnitude": 0.789865,
"max_close": 64475.58,
"min_close": 63248.54,
"eval_start": "2026-08-11 09:16:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-11 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.560004,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.650724,
"activation_price": 64190,
"dir_target_score": 0.30468,
"candles_evaluated": 41,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.009507,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}