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Call Audit
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Passport #162515 · Jul 22, 2026 · 08:56 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
This is my 2026 / 2027 $BTC prediction.
We are coming to the bottom of the bear market, which is evident from the lack of reaction on bearish news. Let's be honest we have been battered by wars, economic tensions + much more ..
A new low to flush out the late longers and then up to the $150,000 - $200,000 for the next cycle high
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
First leg is directional down to 'a new low' to flush late longers. No explicit numeric reversal point is given — 'new low' is qualitative, so target_lo/target_hi are null. Declarative tone.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC drops to a new low (bottom of bear market). No explicit horizon attached to this leg. Bottom-call language ('coming to the bottom of the bear market', 'new low to flush out') → Signal B2; paired with macro/cycle framing ('bear market', 'next cycle high') → ↑ to 60.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $65,988 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 90 |
| Duration used in scoring | 90 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3C->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $65,988 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 396.04,
"mfe": 434.29,
"mqs": 0.466722,
"ocs": 0.523033,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-22 13:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.017392,
"sigma_d": 0.02093598,
"eval_end": "2026-07-22 19:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.466722,
"max_close": 66283.99,
"min_close": 65621.16,
"eval_start": "2026-07-22 08:56:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 90,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.628712,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.501787,
"activation_price": 65987.96,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 42,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010468,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}