Passport #156495 · Jul 18, 2026 · 16:26 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 365 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Hypothetical framing 'What would you do if we get...' presents ETH to $5,000 as a scenario rather than a firm prediction, making this a heavy_hedge. Direction is clearly up and target is explicitly stated at $5,000.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH reaches $5,000. Same horizon phrase 'in the next 6-12 months' bound to the outcome → 365 days, matching the 12-month upper bound of the range.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 2.09,
"mfe": 23.98,
"mqs": 0.610017,
"ocs": 0.919828,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-18 18:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.017068,
"sigma_d": 0.02762628,
"eval_end": "2026-07-18 19:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.610017,
"max_close": 1859.16,
"min_close": 1843.5,
"eval_start": "2026-07-18 16:26:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 365,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.941651,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.636728,
"activation_price": 1843.6,
"dir_target_score": 0.00493,
"candles_evaluated": 13,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.013813,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}