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Passport #154171 · Jul 14, 2026 · 13:51 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
CR@CryptoTony__
Jul 14, 2026 · 13:51 UTC
$BTC / $USD - Update
Waiting on that $64,500 flip before looking to get into a position https://t.co/AcIVsDfzHm
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 3 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | $64,500 |
| Trigger Operator | Reclaim |
AI Reasoning
64500 is the flip-trigger price that must be reclaimed before the forecaster enters a long position, implying upside direction. No numeric target stated. Single claim.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC moves up after flipping $64,500. Per §0.5, the $64,500 flip is the trigger; no horizon phrase is attached to the subsequent upside outcome. No bounce/bottom/urgency/macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $65,044 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 3 days · Short Term |
| Trigger level | $64,500 |
| Trigger operator | Reclaim |
| Conditional operator | Category C — Reclaim/Acceptance/Flip Bullish |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jul 15, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Scoring
This call is conditional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 3 |
| Duration used in scoring | 3 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeB |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $63,840 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 555.98,
"mfe": 21.03,
"mqs": 0.034207,
"ocs": 0.036447,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-15 00:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.00468,
"sigma_d": 0.01857847,
"eval_end": "2026-07-15 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.034207,
"max_close": 65043.98,
"min_close": 64490.87,
"eval_start": "2026-07-15 00:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 65043.98,
"trigger_ts": "2026-07-15 00:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 3,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.034806,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.018834,
"activation_price": 65043.98,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 23,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.009289,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 7,
"trigger_candle_index": 10,
"aggregated_candles_count": 7,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 7
} 