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Passport #151088 · Jul 12, 2026 · 06:57 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
CR@CryptoTony__
Jul 12, 2026 · 06:57 UTC
$BTC / $USD - Update
We waited for a flip of $64,500 into support before longing for a reason. I am now waiting for $63,300 support zone to be tested and to hold for a possible long. https://t.co/Mt4N17N6bQ
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 3 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | $63,300 |
| Trigger Operator | Hold Above |
AI Reasoning
63,300 is the hold-trigger — the forecaster wants to see this support tested and hold before going long (direction up). No numeric target stated. Hedged with 'possible long'.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC moves up after $63,300 support holds. Per §0.5, the trigger is the support test/hold; no horizon phrase is attached to the outcome. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $63,412 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 3 days · Short Term |
| Trigger level | $63,300 |
| Trigger operator | Hold Above |
| Conditional operator | Category A — Hold/Defend/Maintain/Support |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jul 13, 2026 · 02:00 UTC |
Scoring
0.17composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.36 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.24 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.00 |
| Magnitude | 0.36 |
| Max Favorable Move | +0.5% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −1.4% |
| Candles evaluated | 15 · 1h |
| Eval window | Jul 13, 2026 · 02:00 UTC → Jul 13, 2026 · 05:30 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 3 |
| Duration used in scoring | 3 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeB |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $63,762 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 911.25,
"mfe": 285.99,
"mqs": 0.361986,
"ocs": 0.238874,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-13 02:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.065192,
"sigma_d": 0.02007159,
"eval_end": "2026-07-13 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.361986,
"max_close": 63468.25,
"min_close": 62672,
"eval_start": "2026-07-13 02:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 63412.01,
"trigger_ts": "2026-07-13 02:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 3,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.449394,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.166513,
"activation_price": 63412.01,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 15,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010036,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 5,
"trigger_candle_index": 19,
"aggregated_candles_count": 5,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 5
} 