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Call Audit
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Passport #172213 · Jul 31, 2026 · 16:34 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
#Ethereum / ethereum:native
Don't see us making the next leg down on a Friday afternoon.
Expect a bit more chop over the next few weeks before we rip the Band-Aid off and wick down to ~$1,100.
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Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Clear bearish call: 'wick down to ~$1,100' is a declarative down prediction with an explicit target. The ~ indicates approximation but the single number stands. Chop expected first, then decline.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH wicks down to ~$1,100. 'Over the next few weeks' is bound to the chop/setup phase, but 'next few weeks' is the closest outcome-anchored horizon phrase describing when the move resolves → 14 days per §3.2 'coming weeks / next few weeks'.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $1,863 |
| Target | $1,100 – $1,100 |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 14 |
| Duration used in scoring | 14 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $1,863 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 15.06,
"mfe": 1.7,
"mqs": 0.084856,
"ocs": 0.101431,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-31 16:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.006114,
"sigma_d": 0.02058021,
"eval_end": "2026-07-31 19:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.084856,
"max_close": 1875.01,
"min_close": 1863.08,
"eval_start": "2026-07-31 16:34:57+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 14,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.088674,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.0481,
"activation_price": 1863.08,
"dir_target_score": 0,
"candles_evaluated": 11,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.01029,
"scoring_candle_tf": "8h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}