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Call Audit
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Passport #143942 · Jul 2, 2026 · 16:32 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
#Ethereum / ethereum:native still accumulating beneath the HTF s/r flip.
Expect a move down near $1K to retest 2022 lows prior to running it back to the highs. https://t.co/0WBD08lweC
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
First leg is a directional move down to $1K to retest 2022 lows. 'Expect a move down near $1K' is a declarative commitment to the first leg of a multi-stage path signaled by 'prior to running it back'.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH drops to ~$1K. No explicit horizon attached to this leg. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires for the downward move itself; 'accumulating' is context, not an outcome-bound cue → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $1,697 |
| Target | $1,000 – $1,000 |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.07composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.24 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.03 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.00 |
| Magnitude | 0.24 |
| Max Favorable Move | +0.5% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −16.7% |
| Candles evaluated | 2880 · 1d |
| Eval window | Jul 2, 2026 · 16:32 UTC → Aug 1, 2026 · 16:32 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3C->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $1,697 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Merge Flags
trigger_p0_gap_over_20pct: 41.1
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 283.95,
"mfe": 8.2,
"mqs": 0.237404,
"ocs": 0.028068,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-02 16:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.022112,
"sigma_d": 0.03565127,
"eval_end": "2026-08-01 16:32:12+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.237404,
"max_close": 1975.73,
"min_close": 1692.8,
"eval_start": "2026-07-02 16:32:12+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {
"trigger_p0_gap_over_20pct": 41.1
},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.271027,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.071896,
"activation_price": 1697.29,
"dir_target_score": 0.006439,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.017826,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}