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Passport #142838 · Jun 30, 2026 · 16:12 UTC · scored as of Jul 18, 2026 · 20:43 UTC
CR@CryptoKaleo
Jun 30, 2026 · 16:12 UTC
𝕏 #Bitcoin / bitcoin:native
Low 50s / 40s from here. https://t.co/rRjm4EnAEF
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish call targeting 'low 50s / 40s from here' implying a decline. Direction is clearly down. Target range interpreted as low 50s to 40s (roughly 40k-55k), but the exact bounds of 'low 50s / 40s' are imprecise, so target confidence fails.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC drops to low 50s/40s. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present. No bounce, bottom-call, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $58,406 |
| Target | $40,000 – $59,999 |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $58,406 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_3_confidence: post_target_confidence
Merge Flags
target_wrong_side_down: true
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 5055.99,
"mfe": 605.81,
"mqs": 0.458063,
"ocs": 0.107,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.047445,
"sigma_d": 0.02758495,
"eval_end": "2026-07-05 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.458063,
"max_close": 63439.87,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-30 16:12:29+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {
"target_wrong_side_down": true
},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.612606,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.153127,
"activation_price": 58406,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 438,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.016932,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 6,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 6,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 6
}