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Call Audit
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Passport #156499 · Jul 18, 2026 · 16:53 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
$BTC - Expanding ending diagonal. New $BTC bottom target is 12.8k in Q4 2027. https://t.co/bsTI2YLMIk
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 166 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish call with explicit bottom target of 12.8k. 'New bottom target is' is a declarative statement of predicted price destination.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC drops to 12.8k. 'Q4 2027' is bound to the outcome. D = 2026-07-18; Q4 2027 ends Dec 31, 2027; Dec 31 2027 − Jul 18 2026 = 166 days... recalculating: Jul 18 2026 to Dec 31 2027 = 531 days. explicit_timeframe = 531.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $64,303 |
| Target | $12,800 – $12,800 |
| Duration | 166 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 166 |
| Duration used in scoring | 166 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $64,303 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 366.03,
"mfe": 178.62,
"mqs": 0.230188,
"ocs": 0.327954,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-18 17:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.005405,
"sigma_d": 0.021236,
"eval_end": "2026-07-18 19:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.230188,
"max_close": 64576.15,
"min_close": 64299.88,
"eval_start": "2026-07-18 16:53:31+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 166,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.261609,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.140887,
"activation_price": 64303.47,
"dir_target_score": 0.00007,
"candles_evaluated": 11,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010618,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}