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Call Audit
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Passport #84253 · Jun 5, 2026 · 17:37 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
bitcoin:native
From a very HTF point of view, I think we either get A or B. Anything in between doesn't make much sense.
For the record, A is my base case at the moment. I think we're around 4-5 months away from a bottom in terms of time and/or price. Put in a bottom around 38-49k then reclaim the 49k pivot.
That said, the 15k inducement low above the 10k demand remains a point of interest purely from a charting perspective. It would likely take a galactic amount of things going wrong at the same time for this to materialise, such as stonks nuking, quantum threat continuing to accelerate, and a large holder, say an entity that holds 4% of the entire bitcoin supply, becoming a forced seller, among perhaps unforeseen things coming together all at once.
Probably A (90%) but maybe B (10%).
Now I've tricked you into thinking 49k ain't so bad right.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 135 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
First leg is directional down to a 38-49k bottom range. 'I think we're around 4-5 months away from a bottom' and 'Put in a bottom around 38-49k' establish the first leg of the combination path. Mild hedge tone via 'I think' and 'base case'.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC bottoms at 38-49k. '4-5 months away from a bottom' is bound to this outcome; midpoint ~4.5 months maps to §3.2 'next 3–6 months' = 135 days.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $60,756 |
| Target | $38,000 – $49,000 |
| Duration | 135 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 135 |
| Duration used in scoring | 135 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3C->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $60,756 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 6536.32,
"mfe": 2955.64,
"mqs": 0.359595,
"ocs": 0.311384,
"tif": 0.333333,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.104592,
"sigma_d": 0.02169459,
"eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.359595,
"max_close": 67292.14,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-05 17:37:06+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 135,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.445654,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.277226,
"activation_price": 60755.83,
"dir_target_score": 0.219978,
"candles_evaluated": 2736,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.109161,
"scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 3,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 3,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 3
}