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Passport #83169 · May 31, 2026 · 22:32 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
CJ@CJ900X
May 31, 2026 · 22:32 UTC
𝕏 $BTC
80k is the magnet. Would love an early month drive higher to short, targeting 70k.
Alternatively, if we drift lower *first*, 69-70.4k would be a downside level of interest for potential longs.
Though, shorts are favoured.
But a rally first would be nice ...
GL https://t.co/G1iXd2Fgu3
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | $70,400 |
| Trigger Operator | Acceptance Below |
AI Reasoning
First leg is a rally up to short from. No explicit numeric reversal point is stated for where the rally ends (80k is referenced as a 'magnet' but not explicitly as the rally target/short entry). Language 'would love' and 'would be nice' is hedged. Direction confidence fails because the post explicitly acknowledges price could 'drift lower first' as an alternative path.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC rallies higher first (the setup leg before shorting). 'Early month drive higher' is bound to the trigger/setup, not the outcome horizon per §0.5; no explicit timeframe on the rally itself. Urgency/bounce register ('rally first', 'drive higher') → Signal B base 14.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $70,400 |
| Target | $80,000 – $80,000 |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
| Trigger level | $70,400 |
| Trigger operator | Acceptance Below |
| Conditional operator | Category D — Bidding / Wick / Liquidity Grab (Reversal UP) |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jun 2, 2026 · 08:00 UTC |
Scoring
0.00composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.00 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.00 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.00 |
| Magnitude | 0.00 |
| Max Favorable Move | +0.0% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −16.0% |
| Candles evaluated | 1345 · 8h |
| Eval window | Jun 2, 2026 · 08:00 UTC → Jun 16, 2026 · 08:00 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 14 |
| Duration used in scoring | 14 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3C->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $73,901 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_3_confidence: post_direction_confidence
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 11269.09,
"mfe": 0,
"mqs": 0,
"ocs": 0,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-06-02 08:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0,
"sigma_d": 0.01628998,
"eval_end": "2026-06-16 08:00:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0,
"max_close": 70118.42,
"min_close": 59392.25,
"eval_start": "2026-06-02 08:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 70400,
"trigger_ts": "2026-06-02 08:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 14,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0,
"activation_price": 70400,
"dir_target_score": 0,
"candles_evaluated": 1345,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.008145,
"scoring_candle_tf": "8h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": 4,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}