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Passport #167701 · Jul 26, 2026 · 23:49 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Optimistic Sunday Night Take:
Ingredients are there for a decent move up across the board.
- BTC: D1 RSI sitting @ 50%. Despite stacked lows, imo push and have market chase seems like a viable option. Magnet at 68-69k near term
- ETH: Good argument to be made that we're reclaimed the former range, and we are on course for 2500 potentially 2900 (optimistic take)
- Alts: Many in clear AMD formations (see prior post about DOGE, PEPE as an example). Fine tuning on the lower timeframes within the -manipulation- phase, but building for a strong move higher.
My higher timeframe views still stand - I think BTC could see 49k later. But perhaps not. Point is this week, I am focusing on the following as current context.
Let's see.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
ETH call is up with 'on course for 2500 potentially 2900'. Range extracted as 2500-2900. Language 'good argument to be made' and 'optimistic take' indicates mild hedge rather than declarative.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH moves up toward 2500-2900. The post frames all these calls under 'this week, I am focusing on the following' — 'this week' is the outcome-bound horizon → 7 days.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $1,955 |
| Target | $2,500 – $2,900 |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
Scoring
0.26composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.68 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.17 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.05 |
| Magnitude | 0.68 |
| Max Favorable Move | +1.4% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −6.8% |
| Candles evaluated | 672 · 4h |
| Eval window | Jul 26, 2026 · 23:49 UTC → Aug 2, 2026 · 23:49 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 7 |
| Duration used in scoring | 7 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $1,955 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 132.66,
"mfe": 26.52,
"mqs": 0.683235,
"ocs": 0.166604,
"tif": 0.046512,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-27 06:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.127865,
"sigma_d": 0.02280739,
"eval_end": "2026-08-02 23:49:26+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.683235,
"max_close": 1975.73,
"min_close": 1833.1,
"eval_start": "2026-07-26 23:49:26+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 7,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.149595,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.256054,
"activation_price": 1954.72,
"dir_target_score": 0.038531,
"candles_evaluated": 672,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.011802,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}