Passport #164063 · Jul 23, 2026 · 19:43 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | XRP |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Forecaster cut XRP position expecting 'another leg down soon' — clear down direction. No specific price targets provided for XRP. The 67-68k reference is for BTC, not XRP, so not extracted. 'Expecting' language = mild_hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = XRP declines (another leg down). Same reasoning as claim 0 — 'soon' with no modulating signal → Signal D / DEFAULT 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 0.0092,
"mfe": 0.0024,
"mqs": 0.157281,
"ocs": 0.205128,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-23 20:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.009942,
"sigma_d": 0.02538487,
"eval_end": "2026-07-24 05:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.157281,
"max_close": 1.113,
"min_close": 1.1046,
"eval_start": "2026-07-23 19:43:55+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.171121,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.093088,
"activation_price": 1.105,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 39,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.012692,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 2,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 2,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}