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Passport #136131 · Jun 8, 2026 · 07:12 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
CJ@CJ900X
Jun 8, 2026 · 07:12 UTC
𝕏 Gm
bitcoin:native
Weekly SFP of a key level (60k) wouldn't be surprised to see a bounce here. However, we're still in a strong downtrend so I don't think we mount a full on reversal here - I'd rather see some structure built first.
Looking at a few options intra-week that will build into the higher timeframe:
- Retrace up into 66-68 then take out the current low once more. If that ends up as another sweep it could be the formation of a local bottom.
- Retrace up, followed by a close lower, then I'll be eying that 49k level, which imo we do tag eventually. But giving the SFP some credit first.
- Not too interested in longs yet - unless we see a range develop around the 60-61k lows first.
GL
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
First leg is a retrace up into the 66-68k range. Language is hedged ('looking at a few options intra-week') indicating heavy hedge. This is the directional first leg of the combination path.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC retraces up to 66-68k. No explicit horizon bound to this outcome. 'Intra-week' describes the broader scenario framing but is attached to the setup/options context, not the outcome itself; however, bounce/relief register ('retrace up', 'SFP bounce') → Signal B base 14.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $63,085 |
| Target | $66,000 – $68,000 |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
Scoring
0.60composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.57 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.64 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.77 |
| Magnitude | 0.57 |
| Max Favorable Move | +6.7% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −3.7% |
| Candles evaluated | 1344 · 8h |
| Eval window | Jun 8, 2026 · 07:12 UTC → Jun 22, 2026 · 07:12 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 14 |
| Duration used in scoring | 14 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3C |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | heavy_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $63,085 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 2329.57,
"mfe": 4207.58,
"mqs": 0.574244,
"ocs": 0.643641,
"tif": 0.767442,
"mfe_ts": "2026-06-15 16:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.419372,
"sigma_d": 0.02877947,
"eval_end": "2026-06-22 07:12:29+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.574244,
"max_close": 67292.14,
"min_close": 60966.06,
"eval_start": "2026-06-08 07:12:29+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 14,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.853888,
"target_hit_ts": "2026-06-15 07:30:00+00:00",
"accuracy_score": 0.601175,
"activation_price": 63084.57,
"dir_target_score": 1,
"candles_evaluated": 1344,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.07811,
"scoring_candle_tf": "8h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 33,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}