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Passport #136427 · Jun 9, 2026 · 14:49 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
BY@Byzgeneral
Jun 9, 2026 · 14:49 UTC
Damn $BTC is already rolling over, we don't even get a serious relief bounce.
There are some bids around 59k-60k though. Let's see if demand kicks in there. https://t.co/MAAVgAN1nV
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish call based on 'rolling over' language with no relief bounce. The 59k-60k range is mentioned as where bids/demand may kick in, which is in the direction of the down call and could serve as a downside target. However, this could reasonably be interpreted as a support level/observation rather than the forecaster's personal target prediction, hence target confidence is NOT PASS. 'Let's see' adds hedge to commitment.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC continues downward. No explicit horizon phrase bound to the outcome. No bounce, bottom-call, urgency, or macro signal fires — DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $61,542 |
| Target | $59,000 – $60,000 |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.35composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.43 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.39 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.29 |
| Magnitude | 0.43 |
| Max Favorable Move | +6.1% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −9.3% |
| Candles evaluated | 2880 · 1d |
| Eval window | Jun 9, 2026 · 14:49 UTC → Jul 9, 2026 · 14:49 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $61,542 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_3_confidence: post_target_confidence
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 5750.2,
"mfe": 3741.76,
"mqs": 0.431696,
"ocs": 0.394203,
"tif": 0.290323,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.271346,
"sigma_d": 0.02323938,
"eval_end": "2026-07-09 14:49:22+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.431696,
"max_close": 67292.14,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-09 14:49:22+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.565098,
"target_hit_ts": "2026-06-24 17:00:00+00:00",
"accuracy_score": 0.346892,
"activation_price": 61541.95,
"dir_target_score": 1,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.107592,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 9,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
} 