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Passport #144965 · Jul 4, 2026 · 14:56 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
AL@AltcoinSherpa
Jul 4, 2026 · 14:56 UTC
$BTC nice move last few days but I think we see some sort of pullback soon. Not saying it's 'over' or anything like that but expecting some sort short dip between here and 65k. https://t.co/xYIGxaULjZ
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Forecaster expects a pullback/short dip, so direction is down. '65k' is stated as the lower bound of the expected dip range ('between here and 65k'), which reasonably functions as the downside target. However, it could be argued 65k is a floor/support reference rather than a destination, so target confidence is NOT PASS. 'I think' and 'expecting some sort of short dip' = mild_hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC pulls back/dips. 'Soon' is present but no bounce/bottom/urgency/macro signal fires for this directional down call → Signal D, DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $62,694 |
| Target | $65,000 – $65,000 |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
Scoring
0.31composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.47 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.41 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.16 |
| Magnitude | 0.47 |
| Max Favorable Move | +2.2% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −3.2% |
| Candles evaluated | 672 · 4h |
| Eval window | Jul 4, 2026 · 14:56 UTC → Jul 11, 2026 · 14:56 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 7 |
| Duration used in scoring | 7 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $62,694 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_3_confidence: post_target_confidence
Merge Flags
target_wrong_side_down: true
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 2006.01,
"mfe": 1387.15,
"mqs": 0.469511,
"ocs": 0.408808,
"tif": 0.162791,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-06 13:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.206654,
"sigma_d": 0.02499073,
"eval_end": "2026-07-11 14:56:27+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.469511,
"max_close": 64542.48,
"min_close": 61456,
"eval_start": "2026-07-04 14:56:27+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {
"target_wrong_side_down": true
},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 7,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.633955,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.311941,
"activation_price": 62693.99,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 672,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.034901,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 7,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
} 