Passport #179397 · Aug 8, 2026 · 18:21 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 120 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Clear bullish call for ETH to rally to $10,000. 'I think' softens the declaration to a mild hedge. BTC target ignored since asset is ETH.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH rallies to $10,000. No explicit horizon attached to the outcome. Post contains earnest macro language ('bull market', 'golden age of digital assets', 'bottom is in') → Signal H base 120.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 0.94,
"mfe": 2.18,
"mqs": 0.079591,
"ocs": 0.698696,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-08 18:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.002598,
"sigma_d": 0.02736996,
"eval_end": "2026-08-08 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 1921.31,
"magnitude": 0.079591,
"max_close": 1921.33,
"min_close": 1920.71,
"eval_start": "2026-08-08 18:21:10+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-08 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 120,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.082937,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.445221,
"activation_price": 1920.71,
"dir_target_score": 0.000077,
"candles_evaluated": 5,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.013685,
"scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}