Passport #178289 · Aug 7, 2026 · 18:17 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 180 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Clear up call — forecaster expects ETH to rally to new ATH over $5,000. 'I think' and 'could' indicate mild hedge. $1,900 is current support (not a target), $1,300 and $4,900 are historical references (not targets).
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH rallies to all-time highs over $5,000. 'In the next 6 months' is bound to the outcome. Per §3.2, 'next 6 months' → 180 days.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 6.37,
"mfe": 3.09,
"mqs": 0.111142,
"ocs": 0.326635,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-07 19:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.003019,
"sigma_d": 0.02742477,
"eval_end": "2026-08-07 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 1914.36,
"magnitude": 0.111142,
"max_close": 1914.36,
"min_close": 1908.01,
"eval_start": "2026-08-07 18:17:36+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-07 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 180,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.117818,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.360199,
"activation_price": 1912.65,
"dir_target_score": 0.000554,
"candles_evaluated": 5,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.013712,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}