Call Audit

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Passport #178181 · Aug 6, 2026 · 23:41 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

@3orovik

Aug 6, 2026 · 23:41 UTC

ETH is probably going to $10k by 2028 I think we will see $20,000 by 2030 RWA, stablecoins, tokenized funds This is the best time to be bullish on ETH!!

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Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

ETH

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	ETH
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	1609 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Clear bullish call on ETH with two explicit targets ($10k by 2028, $20k by 2030). 'Probably' and 'I think' indicate mild_hedge commitment. Extracted both targets as a range.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = ETH rises (to $10k by 2028, $20k by 2030). The post contains two horizon phrases bound to the outcome; per §3.1b, use the one most tightly bound to the outcome — Stage 2 treats this as a single directional claim, so the farther horizon '$20,000 by 2030' governs. D = 2026-08-06; Dec 31, 2030 − Aug 6, 2026 = 1609 days.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	ETH
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$1,900
Target	$10,000 – $20,000
Duration	1609 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	explicit_text
Duration stated (days)	1609
Duration used in scoring	1609

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$1,900
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 5.81,
  "mfe": 42.86,
  "mqs": 0.67254,
  "ocs": 0.880623,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-08-07 12:45:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.014098,
  "sigma_d": 0.02738607,
  "eval_end": "2026-08-07 19:30:00+00:00",
  "end_close": 1914.36,
  "magnitude": 0.67254,
  "max_close": 1933.85,
  "min_close": 1896.38,
  "eval_start": "2026-08-06 23:41:13+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "end_close_ts": "2026-08-07 19:30:00+00:00",
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 1609,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.116389,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.641815,
  "activation_price": 1900.16,
  "dir_target_score": 0.004159,
  "candles_evaluated": 80,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.020204,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}