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Passport #175526 · Aug 4, 2026 · 16:54 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

@3orovik

Aug 4, 2026 · 16:54 UTC

Bitcoin has already bottomed Bearish news, no longer matters: - Strategy sold $100M in BTC - Coldcard hack lost over $100M BTC - Clarity Act being delayed… All of this… and yet BTC is holding strong I think the rally to $250,000 starts soon!! https://t.co/qhR8P1xqgX

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@3orovik's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Clear bullish call — 'Bitcoin has already bottomed' and 'rally to $250,000 starts soon.' 'I think' softens the commitment to mild_hedge. Target of 250000 is explicitly stated as the destination.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC rallies to $250,000. 'Soon' is the only temporal cue attached to the outcome, which routes to Signal D (no bounce/bottom-call/urgency/macro signal overrides since the evaluable claim is the directional price target, not the bottom call itself) → base 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$63,951
Target	$250,000 – $250,000
Duration	30 days · Medium Term

Scoring

0.62composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.58
Path Score (OCS)	0.88
Time Score (TIF)	1.00
Magnitude	0.58
Max Favorable Move	+0.7%
Max Unfavorable Move	−0.1%
Candles evaluated	11 · 1d
Eval window	Aug 4, 2026 · 16:54 UTC → Aug 4, 2026 · 19:30 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$63,951
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 58.93,
  "mfe": 449.07,
  "mqs": 0.576873,
  "ocs": 0.883996,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-08-04 18:30:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.032133,
  "sigma_d": 0.01632888,
  "eval_end": "2026-08-04 19:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.576873,
  "max_close": 64364.18,
  "min_close": 63950.93,
  "eval_start": "2026-08-04 16:54:36+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.860084,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.62325,
  "activation_price": 63950.93,
  "dir_target_score": 0.002221,
  "candles_evaluated": 11,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.008164,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}